Moody’s, a firm that performs financial research and analysis on commercial and government entities, is carefully monitoring developments in Cayman as well as the possible implications for Government’s Aa3 ratings.
According to Moody’s, the outlook, the ratings of the jurisdiction remain stable.
Alessandra Alecci, Vice President of Senior Analyst in Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group, said that, for the 1st time in the history of Cayman, the Government made an explicit request to the United Kingdom Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) in order to increase its debt levels. She said that this request was necessary as “some of the principles in the territory’s Public Management and Finance Law were violated last year, also an unprecedented development given traditional adherence to the fiscal responsibility law”. The main reasons for the violations were falling revenues that can be explained by a drop in tourism and other services’ income and by higher expenditures related to a one-off capital expenditure programme. The United Kingdom turned down the request for increased borrowings until the authorities of the Cayman Islands present a medium-term strategy to ensure that government revenues are sustainable in the longer term.
In Moody’s report that was published in June 2009, Moody’s discussed the deterioration in public finances and the sharp increase in debt levels in Cayman, which reached close to 20% of GDP during the 2009 fiscal year (double the size just a few years before). This level of debt is still highly affordable, but it is higher than the average debt ratios in Cayman Islands’ Aa peers.
According to Moody’s, the Aa3 rating and stable outlook incorporate the expectation of a significant improvement in fiscal outturns once the capital programme is completed in the jurisdiction.